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Future Warfare
THE FUTURE CONFLICT OPERATING ENVIRONMENT OUT TO 2030  By Peter Roberts

T HIS COLLECTION OF essays is about contemporary trends in war and warfare,3 and how they will shape the actions of belligerents in future conflicts. Its conclusions have implications for the force design of Western militaries and signposts the adaptations that will need to be undertaken to meet the challenges of the next decade. Its research seeks to stimulate a conversation about the overly restrictive ways in which Western thinkers consider competition, conflict and combat to broaden ...Read more >

89 Pages
1.20 MB
STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT 2020 : INTO A NEW ERA OF GREAT POWER COMPETITION  By Thomas F. Lynch III

This strategic assessment is both firmly focused on the dynamics of contemporary Great Power competition (GPC) and respectful of past strategic assessments generated by the Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) over the course of almost 40 years. As an homage to the format of several historical INSS strategic assessments, this one begins with a summary of major findings within the current volume. The chapters that follow provide multiple insights and analytical conclusions ...Read more >

398 Pages
3.79 MB
KEY TECHNOLOGIES AND THE REVOLUTION OF SMALL, SMART, AND CHEAP IN THE FUTURE OF WARFARE  By T. X. Hammes

The U.S. Civil War demonstrated the impact of the Industrial Revolution on warfare. The advent of mass production, railroads, telegraphs, and steam warships meant mass became a dominant, if not the dominant, element on the battlefield. World War I reinforced this fact. Even with the advent of maneuver warfare, World War II remained largely a competition of mass. In the 1980s, American leaders turned to precision weapons to defeat the Warsaw Pact’s mass.1 Thankfully, we never found out ...Read more >

17 Pages
436.87 KB
GLOBAL TRENDS 2040  By A PUBLICATION OF THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL

DURING THE PAST YEAR, THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC HAS REMINDED THE WORLD OF ITS FRAGILITY AND DEMONSTRATED THE INHERENT RISKS OF HIGH LEVELS OF INTERDEPENDENCE. IN COMING YEARS AND DECADES, THE WORLD WILL FACE MORE INTENSE AND CASCADING GLOBAL CHALLENGES RANGING FROM DISEASE TO CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE DISRUPTIONS FROM NEW TECHNOLOGIES AND FINANCIAL CRISES. These challenges will repeatedly test the resilience and adaptability of communities, states, and the international ...Read more >

156 Pages
15.93 MB
MILITARY LEARNING AND THE FUTURE OF WAR  By Kimberly Kagan

The US National Defense Strategy of 2018 was an inflection point. The United States reoriented its defense enterprise on great power competition and the conventional challenges that Russia and China pose. US is steering away from the focus on counter-terrorism opetations that have preoccupied the US for the past 19 years. The impetus for this reorientation stems from a combination of factors: • A desire to turn away from unpopular unconventional conflicts that seem to drag on ...Read more >

2 Pages
759.66 KB
THE FUTURE OF WAR : POWER, TECHNOLOGY AND AMERICAN WORLD DOMINANCE IN THE TWENTY - FIRST CENTURY  By George and Meredith Friedman

Aeron Damphair was drowning men on Great Wyk when they came to tell him that the king was dead. It was a bleak cold morning, and the sea was as leaden as the sky. The first three men had offered their lives to the Drowned God fearlessly, but the fourth was weak in faith, and began to struggle as his lungs cried out for air. Standing waist deep in the surf, Aeron seized the naked boy by the shoulders and pushed his head back down as he tried to snatch a ...Read more >

66 Pages
306.18 KB
FUTURE OPERATIONAL ENVIRONMENT: FORGING THE FUTURE IN AN UNCERTAIN WORLD 2035-2050  By U.S. ARMY FUTURES COMMAND

This document describes the U.S. Army s Future Operational Environment (FOE). It is not meant to predict “what will be,” but rather explores “what could be.” It includes several plausible alternative views of the future out to 2050, and therefore is foundational to the development of concepts beyond the Multi-Domain Operations (MDO) timeframe. It attempts to explore and focus operational concepts in order to develop capabilities that will ...Read more >

25 Pages
1,002.18 KB
PRINCIPLES OF THE FUTURE FORCE  

Mission First. We believe that at its core, the Department of Defense (DoD) is a purposedriven institution with a single, no-fail mission: defend the nation against those who would threaten ...Read more >

32 Pages
547.26 KB
THE FUTURE OF US EXTENDED DETERRENCE IN ASIA TO 2025  By Robert A. Manning

Featuring a $20 trillion economy and military spending that now surpasses that of Europe, the Asia-Pacific region is a priority in US foreign policy. Yet the region is filled with more uncertainty than at any time since the Vietnam ...Read more >

32 Pages
1.67 MB
CYBER ATTACKS LIKELY TO INCREASE  By Lee Rainie

Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. It does not take policy positions. ...Read more >

63 Pages
829.36 KB
THE EU IN 2030  

In 2014, Wikistrat ran a three-week simulation where over 80 analysts collaboratively explored the centrifugal and centripetal forces that will shape the European Union (EU)s future between now and 2030 across three ...Read more >

13 Pages
1.53 MB
A LOW VISIBILITY FORCE MULTIPLIER  By Dennis M. Gormley

Chinas military modernization is focused on building modern ground, naval, air, and missile forces capable of fighting and winning local wars under informationized conditions. The principal planning scenario has been a ...Read more >

196 Pages
3.44 MB
INTELLIGENCE SURVEILLANCE AND RECONNAISSANCE  By MARTIN E DEMPSEY

The use of aircraft changed how military forces viewed their battlespace, providing situational awareness far beyond the perspectives of their ground and naval forces. For our current and future forces, intelligence, surveillance, and ...Read more >

14 Pages
4.32 MB
PREPARING FOR WAR IN THE ROBOTIC AGE  By Robert O. Work

Over the past several decades, the United States has been an aggressive first mover in a war-fighting regime centered on guided munitions and integrated battle networks. ...Read more >

44 Pages
4.09 MB
ROBOTS ON THE BATTLEFIELS   By Ronan Doare

When historians turn their gaze on the questions of defense in this first half of the 21st Century they will observe that military robots brought in something brand new to the world of ...Read more >

301 Pages
3.17 MB
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