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Net Assessment
DOD DIRECTIVE 5111.11  

This issuance applies to OSD, the Military Departments, the Office of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (CJCS) and the Joint Staff, the Combatant Commands, the Office of the Inspector General of the Department of Defense, the Defense Agencies, the DoD Field Activities, and all other organizational entities within the DoD (referred to collectively in this issuance as the “DoD Components”). ...Read more >

10 Pages
112.38 KB
CHINA NEWSLETTER N.3  By Francesca Buratti

The author stresses the need to update the DDA to address China in the upcoming NATO Summit in June. The NATO Military strategy is currently structured around two main documents: the DDA, which outlines the Alliance’s primary short- run threats coming from Russia and international terrorism and the NATO Warfighting Capstone Concept (NWCC), a twenty-year vision for the Alliance’s warfare capabilities and characteristics. According to the expert, it is crucial that Beijing will be ...Read more >

6 Pages
642.57 KB
NET ASSESSMENT THE CONCEPT, ITS DEVELOPMENT AND ITS FUTURE  By Institute for Defence Analyses

On May 22, 1990 the Director, Net Assessment in OSD and the President of IDA sponsored a symposium at IDA on net assessment. The Symposium was held as part of a thrust to help the DoD and IDA gain a deeper understanding of the significance of recently changing strategic conditions in world events, and of the implications of the changed conditions for DoD strategic planning. Net assessment has been a part of the DoD planning landscape for many ...Read more >

46 Pages
2.71 MB
NET ASSESSMENT AND 21ST CENTURY STRATEGIC COMPETITION  By Center for Global Security Research

In Congressional testimony, the Strategic Commander reviews the strategic deterrence landscape, especially the challenges posed by China and Russia. Both nuclear powers are modernizing their forces and pursuing new nuclear and non-nuclear capabilities to weaken U.S. strategic deterrence. While Russia remains the pacing threat for U.S. nuclear forces, China, Adm. Richard argued, is no longer a “lesser included case.” China will soon have a credible nuclear triad, capable regional ...Read more >

19 Pages
524.19 KB
A NET ASSESSMENT OF “NO FIRST USE” AND “SOLE PURPOSE” NUCLEAR POLICIES  By Matthew R. Costlow

U.S. nuclear declaratory policy, and the weapons that support it, hold both promise for allies and peril for adversaries as the bedrock of the U.S. defense strategy, so any changes to the policy will be of interest worldwide. Then-candidate for President Joseph Biden signaled in a 2020 article for Foreign Affairs that it is his wish to ...Read more >

131 Pages
1.94 MB
THE UNITED STATES, CHINA, AND RUSSIA: AN INNOVATION NET ASSESSMENT  

US strategy for global competition and cooperation in innovation cannot be charted without considering innovation in China and Russia, as well as the relationships between these three actors. Here, we bring together worldleading experts to examine each of these three innovators—the US, Russia, and China—and to place them in context. The US faces a global challenge with capable competitors that is both a marathon and a sprint, and US strategy must mitigate its (inevitable) relative ...Read more >

5 Pages
2.99 MB
CHINA’S MILITARY & THE U.S.-JAPAN ALLIANCE IN 2030  By MICHAEL D. SWAINE et al.

T he Asia century is well under way, and with it the emerging challenges of a region in transition…. Any sound future policy will require a thorough assessment of China’s evolving military and foreign security capabilities and of the capacity and willingness of Tokyo and Washington to sustain their historic cooperation. There are no guarantees that the future will resemble the recent past, and the best approaches for continued deterrence ...Read more >

424 Pages
3.23 MB
JOINT NET ASSESSMENT : US AND SOVIET STRATEGIC FORCES   By Director of Centra! Intelligence

The strategic nuclear balance is probably adequate to deter a direct nuclear attack on the United States or a major attack on Europe. The Soviets, in our view, have some clear advantages today, and these advantages are projected to continue, although differences may narrow somewhat in the next 10 years. It is likely, however, that the Soviets do not see their advantage as being as great as we would ...Read more >

43 Pages
4.12 MB
ISRAEL VERSUS ANYONE: A MILITARY NET ASSESSMENT OF THE MIDDLE EAST  By Kenneth S. Brower

Most published Middle Eastern military net assessments are based primarily on lists of units and equipment. Unfortunately, history proved that such lists are all too often incorrect. Even when they were correct, the overall assessments generally ignored the quality of personnel and/or equipment, as well as the extent to which rival defense systems could turn available financial, human, and material resources into actual military power. ...Read more >

49 Pages
764.20 KB
NATO 2030: UNITED FOR A NEW ERA  

NATO enters the eighth decade of its existence with both a longer record of success and a wider assortment of looming challenges than its founders could have foreseen when they signed the Washington Treaty in April 1949. In the thirty years since the collapse of the Soviet threat that called NATO into existence, the Western Alliance has defied innumerable predictions of its imminent demise. It ended two wars and ethnic cleansing in the Western Balkans, extended the hand of partnership to ...Read more >

67 Pages
324.59 KB
INDIA CHINA IN 2030: A NET ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPETITION BETWEEN TWO RISING POWERS  By Brigadier Mick Ryan

There is a marked asymmetry in the mutual perceptions of India and China. India merits little attention from China and is not taken seriously as a security threat.India has many more experts on China than China has on India. ...Read more >

69 Pages
1.38 MB
CHINA MILITARY THE U.S.-JAPAN ALLIANCE IN 2030  By MICHAEL D. SWAINE

The emergence of the people Republic of China as an increasingly significant military power in the western Pacific present major implications for japan the US japan alliance and regional ...Read more >

422 Pages
3.81 MB
EVALUATING MILITARY BALANCES THROUGH THE LENS OF NET ASSESSMENT : HISTORY AND APPLICATION  By Thomas M. Skypek

Building on the previous section which examined the definition of net assessment and explored some of its fundamental concepts, this section provides a blueprint for the conduct of net assessments by analysts. ...Read more >

25 Pages
713.18 KB
DIRECTOR OF NET ASSESSMENT   By William J Lynn III

This Directive applies to OSD, the Military Departments, the Office of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Joint Staff, the Combatant Commands, the Office of the Inspector General of the Department of ...Read more >

4 Pages
67.01 KB
APES ON A TREADMILL   By by Paul C. Warnke

Recent articles in FOREIGN POLICY argue that critics of our defense spending spending overstate its impact and misapprehend its driving impulse. Philip Odeen insists that our military investment has never been a better ...Read more >

19 Pages
345.97 KB
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