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NBC/WMD
NUCLEAR WEAPONS DECISION-MAKING UNDER TECHNOLOGICAL COMPLEXITY  By Katarzyna Kubiak, Sylvia Mishra, Sir Graham Stacey

In the near future, quantum technology applications, cyber weapons, artificial intelligence, deep fakes, autonomous, and adaptive networked armed drone swarms, to name but few, may interact with one another, nuclear commands and control infrastructures, and the human at the same time. These new and emerging technologies will impact a decision maker’s ability to manage, assimilate, interpret, trust, verify the information, and, ultimately, make a nuclear decision. ...Read more >

17 Pages
596.60 KB
SOUTH ASIA’S NUCLEAR CHALLENGES  By lora saalman and petr topychkanov

This study provides an overview of views on nuclear postures and escalation affecting South Asia, based on 119 interviews conducted in 2020, without attribution, with military, nuclear, political and regional experts from India, Pakistan, China, Russia and the United States. These discussions revealed a number of interlocking points that offer building blocks for both official and non-official engagement on such issues as no first use (NFU), lowered nuclear thresholds, conventional and ...Read more >

40 Pages
454.67 KB
THE FUTURE OF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION  By John P. Caves, Jr. and W. Seth Carus

In 2014, the Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction at National Defense University published a paper on the future of weapons of mass destruction (WMD).1 It projected WMD-relevant geopolitical and technological trends and made judgments as to how those trends would shape the nature and role of WMD in 2030. Significant geopolitical and technological developments bearing on the future of WMD have emerged since the 2014 paper or were largely not addressed in that study. This paper ...Read more >

109 Pages
1.78 MB
PROJECT ATOM : A COMPETITIVE STRATEGIES APPROACH TO DEFINING U.S. NUCLEAR STRATEGY AND POSTURE FOR 20252050  By Clark Murdock et al

Project Atom took a competitive strategies approach to its zero-based, blue-sky review ofU.S. nuclear strategy and force posture. Three independent think tank teamsthe Stimson Center, the Center for a New American Security (CNAS ) ...Read more >

158 Pages
3.15 MB
ATTACKS AGAINST THE IRANIAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM  

Provides a map of the location of Irans 6 major nuclear sites. Presents a timeline of the accidents, attacks, and assassinations associated with the Iranian nuclear programs since ...Read more >

36 Pages
1,008.83 KB
THE SCIENCE OF RESPONDING TO A NUCLEAR REACTOR ACCIDENT:SUMMARY OF A SYMPOSIUM  By Ourania Kosti,

This introduction is based on a White Paper distributed to the participants of the May 13, 2014, symposium titled The Science and Response to a Nuclear Reactor Accident. ...Read more >

53 Pages
438.00 KB
STRATEGIC STABILITY IN THE SECOND NUCLEAR AGE  By Gregory D. Koblentz

During the Cold War, the likelihood that nuclear weapons would be used deliberately, by accident, or in an unauthorized way was determined overwhelmingly by the actions of the United States and Soviet ...Read more >

67 Pages
1.94 MB
SMALL NUCLEAR FORCES FIVE PERSPECTIVES  By Malcolm Chalmers, Andrew Somerville and Andrea Berger

The purpose of this Whitehall Report is to analyse the nuclear doctrines of the ive smaller nuclear-weapon states, and possible implicaions for future eforts to promote nuclear restraint and ...Read more >

84 Pages
1.63 MB
NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND COERCIVE ESCALATION IN REGIONAL CONFLICTS   By Jerry Meyerle

Nuclear weapons may create greater space for smaller powers to engage in coercive attacks and even limited military operations at lower levels of escalation. This study explores this phenomenon through examination of two case studies: North Korea and Pakistan. ...Read more >

82 Pages
614.11 KB
ASSESSMENT OF NUCLEAR MONITORING AND VERIFICATION TECHNOLOGIES  By Dr. Paul Kaminski

The Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics directed the Defense Science Board to form a Task Force to assess the needs for nuclear monitoring and verification technologies in support of future ...Read more >

112 Pages
3.41 MB
STRATEGY-POLICY MISMATCH  By Timothy M. Bonds, Eric V. Larson, Derek Eaton, Richard E. Darilek

Two successive presidents have determined that weapons of mass destruction (WMD) particularly nuclear weapons in the hands of violent extremistspose the greatest of threats to the American people. Accordingly, the Department of Defense (DoD) ...Read more >

160 Pages
2.41 MB
TRANSFORMING NUCLEAR ATTRIBUTION : CULTURE COMMUNITY AND CHANGE  By Mr. Steven Aftergood

This is in response to your 23 December 2009 email to the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) (Enclosure 1), in which you requested, under the Freedom of Information ...Read more >

147 Pages
5.82 MB
NUCLEAR SECURITY IN INDIA : MAPPING THE THREAT SCENARIO  By Rahul Prakash

Post 9/11, the concerns about the use of nuclear and radiological materials by terrorists and Pother extremists has gained significant international attention leading to processes such as the Nuclear Security Summit. ...Read more >

6 Pages
441.52 KB
REVISITING INDIA NUCLEAR STRATEGY DEBATE  By Rajesh Basrur

The past few years have produced considerable debate over Indias nuclear strategy and posture. Much of it has revolved around the credibility of Indias nuclear arsenal (Chari, 2014 Global Security ...Read more >

8 Pages
338.53 KB
DETERRENGE STABILITY AND ESCALATION CONTROL IN SOUTH ASIA  By Michael Krepon

When India and Pakistan tested nuclear devices in 1998, their governments offered assurances that they would seek minimum credible nuclear deterrents. With the passage of time,their definitions of minimum have ...Read more >

207 Pages
3.05 MB
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